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Time Trader Insights

Exclusive insights into the current trends in financial markets.

GOLD - Glitter or litter?

The gold price has made a strong rally so far in 2017 with prices up over 8.0% from their lows in December 2015.

But has the recent rally in gold prices fizzled out? I think so, and here is why...

Gold - 25 Jan 2017

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Here is a recent article on the S&P ASX 200 from my new, monthly newsletter service, The Time Factor Trade Report.

It follows an article that I wrote on the ASX 200 back in November 2016 where I nominated 5050 to 5080 as the "BUY ZONE" for Australian equities. You can read that article here. The actual low on the ASX 200 came in at 5052, exactly within my forecast price range. Australian shares then rallied over 15.3%.

This recent chart of the ASX 200 (below) is taken from the inaugural edition of the Time Factor Trade Report. It highlights the reasons why we were anticipating 9 Jan as a potential TOP in the Australian stock market. In actual fact, Aussies shares dropped almost 4.0% from that 9 Jan high, so it was a nice little trade for those with the knolwedge of how to time the market.

ASX 200 - 25 Jan 2017

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Since then, the ASX 200 has hit key Fibonacci price support.

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Why the Dow Jones can hit 30,000 in 2017

Forget the Dow Jones at 20,000. We forecast that would happen months ago - and you can read that written forecast by going here.

But for those of you who think the Dow Jones can't reach 30,000 next year, then I encourage you to read on for the possible reasons why. Note, I have published an update of my US Equities Road Map for 2017 later in this article.

Before we start though, I want to point you to the chart below which outlines my WD Gann Road Map for US equities in 2016. The Road Map was created at the end of 2015, and outlined where I thought US equity prices might head throughout the 12 months ahead. My price forecast is shown by the grey line, with the actual prices of the Dow Jones in red.

As you can see (below), we predicted more than 12 months in advance, that the Dow Jones would finish the year strongly and reach 19,970 by year end. Well, as it turned out, the yearly high for the Dow ended up being 19,974 on 21 Dec. Not bad, hey?

Not only that, but we also called 1806 as a bottom for the S&P 500, and this proved to be within one point of the actual low. We published that forecast on Saturday, 23 Jan 2016 - within 3 days of the yearly low. You can re-visit that forecast for free by going here.

WD Gann Road Map - 2016 summary

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So using the same techniques to construct a Road Map for 2017, we see a strong year for US equities which will be followed by some sharp volatility. And here is why...

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APPLE Inc - a stock with symmetry

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is the world's largest company by market capitalisation with a stock value of over $617 billion dollars. Yes, that's right... $617,000,000,000!

It is also a stock that works incredibly well to the PRICE measuring techniques in Trading with the Time Factor. As the chart below shows, AAPL has been in a long term bull trend since 2009, with the two most significant pull backs in price being repeats of one another and lasting $45 in magnitude.


APPLE Inc - 16 Dec 2016

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WD Gann's Road Map for 2017

WD Gann developed the use of cyclical "Road Maps" when making his annual stock market forecasts back in the 1920's and 1930's. This is what allowed him to call the exact date of the 1929 Great Depression stock market high and the greatest fall ever in US stock market history that followed thereafter.

Before the 2016 calendar year began, I constructed the following Road Map for clients using the same methods that WD Gann did. It assisted us greatly in determining where stock prices were headed throughout 2016.

As you can see, the 2016 Road Map predicted the movements of US equities with an uncanny accuracy. I haven't seen anyone else get anywhere near as close.

Now, I am pleased to announce that the WD Gann Road Map for 2017 is now available - you can grab a copy by clicking here.

WD Gann Road Map - 2016 as at 8 Dec 2016

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The WD Gann Road Map for 2017 provides you not only with a detailed Report giving the predictive price model for US stock prices in 2017, but you will also get an Excel copy of the chart with day by day calculations and movements. In addition to this, you also receive my Trading Notes for 2017 and over 100 years of daily historical data for the Dow Jones index.

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